A look at the results
The full set of complete results can be found here.
DMK+ 163
ADMK+ 69
DMDK 1 (Vijaykanth)
Independent 1 (Ramachandran from Thalli).
From a cursory glance, this is what I find:
1. However ADMK and their cronies try to spin this, this is a big vote against Jayalalitha and her government.
2. DMK's vote share has gone down from ~31% to 26.5%. I guess this is mainly because of the fewer seats that they contested in.
3. The biggest gainer in terms of vote %age is Congress.
4. Stalin won by just 2400 votes.
5. S.R.Balasubramaniam (Cong) lost.
6. After wild predictions, DMDK has won 8.33% of the votes. They should be more than satisfied with that performance. Now, we can see Gaptun reel out his statistics in the assembly.
7. MDMK won 6. If they had remained in DMK fold, I don't think they would have won many more!
8. For all the hoopla, Karthik's Forward Bloc won 0.31% of the votes. Now Karthik can go back to Ooty. Hope he paid off his debts.
We had lots of fun doing the live blogging. The huge number of hits to the site was also encouraging. Thanks!
It is definitely not a vote against Jayalalitha. I think this the best performance by the ruling party in the past two decades. The margin in many constituency states it was a late swing and DMK has to walk a tight rope. I see the brain behind this victory is more congress than the DMK. They used the election commission and the national media to the fullest extent. I am really worried about Sonia's clout
Thanklessness of Urban Educated Middle Class
Yes I am one of them.
Analyzing the results of the election – One thing is clear – that educated middle class voters who once supported DMK in the last several elections did not vote for the DPA alliance this time. In every major metropolitan cities in TN (7 constituencies in Chennai - Mylapore, Saidapet, Royapuram, RK Nagar, Triplicane, T. Nagar, Madurai West, Madurai East, Srirangam, Salem-1, Coimbatore West), DPA lost the key constituencies where majority of the Urban Educated Middle Class people live. They either stayed home or voted for the DMDK candidates. Here are their reasons:
1. DMK was not fiscally conservative. They were giving all the freebies to urban poor & rural agricultural people instead of investing the taxpayers’ money in industrial and infrastructure projects which would have created low and high wage jobs.
2. DMK is more of a corrupt “family business party” only to enrich their family and not for the public.
3. DMK, Congress and the Left might bring new affirmative action (reservation) policies which might hurt us in getting admissions in premier higher education institutions.
4. Maran brothers have monopolized the ‘media business’ in TN – so I hate them – I am envy of them
So I hate both the parties. So I stayed home. Or, I voted for DMDK. If you are like me – who cares about our TN state’s economic well being you shouldn’t have done what you did - by staying home or voted for the other party. YOU SHOULD HAVE VOTED FOR THE DMK/DPA ALLIANCE. Why? Here is the reason:
Congress party MPs after 1967 – This is a party of Landlords whose ministers never stood for anything. Other than P Chidambaram & Mani Shankar Iyer, none of the other central ministers have made a name for themselves. All of them have not taken any major steps to bring infrastructure or industrial govt or private company projects to the state. In fact none of the congress ministers have any kind of political influence in the centre. Did they do anything for the middle class? Did they do anything for industrialization of TN? The big answer is No.
BJP party MPS 1996-2006 – Did any of the BJP ministers who hailed from TN do any of the lobbying necessary for TN projects. Can any one say any major achievement of TN-BJP ministers when they were in the centre? The big answer is No.
JJ’s AIADMK MPs & VaiKo’s MDMK MPs: Can you name any of the Central ministers from these parties who made a name for their performance? Can you identify any of them to bring any kind of small or big private industrial or govt infrastructure projects to the state? The big answer is No.
Recent DMK party & their MPs – MK as a state CM (1996-2001) brought several auto manufacturing assembly projects (Ford, Hyundai etc) and TIDAL (IT) park to the state. These actions by MK has brough both ‘low’ wage manufacturing jobs for the unskilled or partially skilled labors as well as high wage jobs in our state. In fact, he started the Nanguneri IT SEZ in the Southern TN during the last term, but did not get finished because you threw him out. In fact, as a commerce minister Murasoli Maran made a name at the all India level for fighting for country’s trading rights in WTO. What you have rewarded them in the last election? You threw his DMK party from power in the State. So what they did afterwards. Even when in opposition in the state, instead of sitting idle at the centre, the DMK party asked for specific portfolios (Shipping & IT Communications) from the centre (Sonia) and the two DMK ministers [TR Balu (TRB) & Dayanidhi Maran (DM)] were currently working hard to bring the Sedu Samudram project and several IT companies to the state for increasing employment for the poor and the middle class. After doing all these things, you rewarded them in this election by staying home or voted for the other party because of your envy of Maran brothers. Next to Naidu (Andhra), DM is the only TN minister in Southern India who is actively lobbying/lobbied to bring IT projects to the state. Did JJ do it? Did Central Congress ministers lobbied for any kind of small or big projects to the state? Whether it is Murasoli Maran with the BJP govt or Dayanidhi Maran/TRBalu with the cong govt – they both worked hard to bring projects to TN. Have you rewarded them in this election? No.
After seeing this ‘thankless urban middle class’ in the last 2001 election and assessing their low electoral value (numerical advantage) in the electoral politics, the DMK party has decided in this 2006 election to create the extreme leftist manifesto to appeal to the urban poor and lower income groups so that they can come back to power. Since these people have now rewarded them with power, and SINCE THEY ARE DEPENDENT NOW ON CPI/CPM/PMK MLAs for majority, the current DMK may move more to the left and not invest in projects benefiting middle class. This is what Communists in West Bengal have done for the last 35 years. Consistently for 7 terms, they spent ALL their tax money in their votebank rich rural areas by giving subsidies etc., and during their rule they never developed the state like TN. By not voting for DMK in this election, you have not given the absolute majority to DMK and thereby forcing them to move more to the LEFT when they govern for next 5 years. Instead of envying at Maran Brothers or disliking the personal follies and failures of DMK politicians, you should vote with your head not with your prejudice or envy. Had you voted for DMK, DMK would have gained 11 or even more seats (see above) and they might have come closer to the majority.
Whether it is Indian Democracy or American Democracy, the politician who runs for Chief office has to bring the rich and the poor together during the election campaign. In USA, the Democratic Party candidates move to the ‘left’ in the primaries and in the main election the candidate move to the ‘Centre’ in order to bridge the coalition. The same way, the Republican Party candidates move to the ‘right’ during primaries and try to move to the ‘centre’ in the main election. So, now, MK has moved to the ‘extreme left’ in this assembly election. But, if you want him to govern from the ‘centre’, you SHOULD HAVE GIVEN HIM THE ABSOLUTE MAJORITY. By not giving this majority, there is a definite possibility that he might move even more ‘left’ and if he or his party succeeded in the next election you have made TN state into a West Bengal state. The DMK party which campaigned and governed from the ‘centre (middle)’ all these years, have moved to the LEFT - thanks to you ‘thankless Urban Educated Middle Class. The next time when you Vote – Vote with your head not with your prejudice or envy. Vijayakanth’s DMDK or Congress is not alternative for DMK. They are even more left in various fiscal policies.
Thanklessness of Urban Educated Middle Class
Yes I am one of them.
Analyzing the results of the election – One thing is clear – that educated middle class voters who once supported DMK in the last several elections did not vote for the DPA alliance this time. In every major metropolitan cities in TN (7 constituencies in Chennai - Mylapore, Saidapet, Royapuram, RK Nagar, Triplicane, T. Nagar, Madurai West, Madurai East, Srirangam, Salem-1, Coimbatore West), DPA lost the key constituencies where majority of the Urban Educated Middle Class people live. They either stayed home or voted for the DMDK candidates. Here are their reasons:
1. DMK was not fiscally conservative. They were giving all the freebies to urban poor & rural agricultural people instead of investing the taxpayers’ money in industrial and infrastructure projects which would have created low and high wage jobs.
2. DMK is more of a corrupt “family business party” only to enrich their family and not for the public.
3. DMK, Congress and the Left might bring new affirmative action (reservation) policies which might hurt us in getting admissions in premier higher education institutions.
4. Maran brothers have monopolized the ‘media business’ in TN – so I hate them – I am envy of them
So I hate both the parties. So I stayed home. Or, I voted for DMDK. If you are like me – who cares about our TN state’s economic well being you shouldn’t have done what you did - by staying home or voted for the other party. YOU SHOULD HAVE VOTED FOR THE DMK/DPA ALLIANCE. Why? Here is the reason:
Congress party MPs after 1967 – This is a party of Landlords whose ministers never stood for anything. Other than P Chidambaram & Mani Shankar Iyer, none of the other central ministers have made a name for themselves. All of them have not taken any major steps to bring infrastructure or industrial govt or private company projects to the state. In fact none of the congress ministers have any kind of political influence in the centre. Did they do anything for the middle class? Did they do anything for industrialization of TN? The big answer is No.
BJP party MPS 1996-2006 – Did any of the BJP ministers who hailed from TN do any of the lobbying necessary for TN projects. Can any one say any major achievement of TN-BJP ministers when they were in the centre? The big answer is No.
JJ’s AIADMK MPs & VaiKo’s MDMK MPs: Can you name any of the Central ministers from these parties who made a name for their performance? Can you identify any of them to bring any kind of small or big private industrial or govt infrastructure projects to the state? The big answer is No.
Recent DMK party & their MPs – MK as a state CM (1996-2001) brought several auto manufacturing assembly projects (Ford, Hyundai etc) and TIDAL (IT) park to the state. These actions by MK has brough both ‘low’ wage manufacturing jobs for the unskilled or partially skilled labors as well as high wage jobs in our state. In fact, he started the Nanguneri IT SEZ in the Southern TN during the last term, but did not get finished because you threw him out. In fact, as a commerce minister Murasoli Maran made a name at the all India level for fighting for country’s trading rights in WTO. What you have rewarded them in the last election? You threw his DMK party from power in the State. So what they did afterwards. Even when in opposition in the state, instead of sitting idle at the centre, the DMK party asked for specific portfolios (Shipping & IT Communications) from the centre (Sonia) and the two DMK ministers [TR Balu (TRB) & Dayanidhi Maran (DM)] were currently working hard to bring the Sedu Samudram project and several IT companies to the state for increasing employment for the poor and the middle class. After doing all these things, you rewarded them in this election by staying home or voted for the other party because of your envy of Maran brothers. Next to Naidu (Andhra), DM is the only TN minister in Southern India who is actively lobbying/lobbied to bring IT projects to the state. Did JJ do it? Did Central Congress ministers lobbied for any kind of small or big projects to the state? Whether it is Murasoli Maran with the BJP govt or Dayanidhi Maran/TRBalu with the cong govt – they both worked hard to bring projects to TN. Have you rewarded them in this election? No.
After seeing this ‘thankless urban middle class’ in the last 2001 election and assessing their low electoral value (numerical advantage) in the electoral politics, the DMK party has decided in this 2006 election to create the extreme leftist manifesto to appeal to the urban poor and lower income groups so that they can come back to power. Since these people have now rewarded them with power, and SINCE THEY ARE DEPENDENT NOW ON CPI/CPM/PMK MLAs for majority, the current DMK may move more to the left and not invest in projects benefiting middle class. This is what Communists in West Bengal have done for the last 35 years. Consistently for 7 terms, they spent ALL their tax money in their votebank rich rural areas by giving subsidies etc., and during their rule they never developed the state like TN. By not voting for DMK in this election, you have not given the absolute majority to DMK and thereby forcing them to move more to the LEFT when they govern for next 5 years. Instead of envying at Maran Brothers or disliking the personal follies and failures of DMK politicians, you should vote with your head not with your prejudice or envy. Had you voted for DMK, DMK would have gained 11 or even more seats (see above) and they might have come closer to the majority.
Whether it is Indian Democracy or American Democracy, the politician who runs for Chief office has to bring the rich and the poor together during the election campaign. In USA, the Democratic Party candidates move to the ‘left’ in the primaries and in the main election the candidate move to the ‘Centre’ in order to bridge the coalition. The same way, the Republican Party candidates move to the ‘right’ during primaries and try to move to the ‘centre’ in the main election. So, now, MK has moved to the ‘extreme left’ in this assembly election. But, if you want him to govern from the ‘centre’, you SHOULD HAVE GIVEN HIM THE ABSOLUTE MAJORITY. By not giving this majority, there is a definite possibility that he might move even more ‘left’ and if he or his party succeeded in the next election you have made TN state into a West Bengal state. The DMK party which campaigned and governed from the ‘centre (middle)’ all these years, have moved to the LEFT - thanks to you ‘thankless Urban Educated Middle Class. The next time when you Vote – Vote with your head not with your prejudice or envy. Vijayakanth’s DMDK or Congress is not alternative for DMK. They are even more left in various fiscal policies.
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